Here’s a comparison with previous years with comparatively low maxima: Another leg down for JAXA extent, which is now second lowest for the date: The NSIDC’s Charctic graph is updating again, and currently looks like this: Meanwhile via Thomas Lavergne on Twitter here’s a CMEMS forecast for a sudden surge in extent to well above the current maximum for 2021: updated forecast with larger coverage ⤵️possibly more #seaice in Barents, East Greenland, Okhotsk, possibly Baffin over the next few days… pic.twitter.com/43t5IKhgXq. A "bomb cyclone" in the north Pacific which is currently battering the Aleutian Islands is the strongest storm to ever hit Alaska. Surigae has become a very violent tropical cyclone and it will continue gradually moving northwest over the next couple of days. Bombogenesis is defined as an atmospheric pressure drop of 24 millibars in 24 hours. I’ve just added the University of Washington’s thoughts. This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. According to Thomas Lavergne the SSMIS data is flowing to OSI-SAF once again! The NSIDC have now issued a press release announcing the 2021 maximum extent: Arctic sea ice has likely reached its maximum extent for the year, at 14.77 million square kilometers (5.70 million square miles) on March 21, 2021, according to scientists at the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) at the University of Colorado Boulder. Some weather forecast models are, however, still forecasting the storm could also get extremely close to Luzon coast by Tuesday, but the majority of the models keep the future track farther offshore with much less dangerous impact to the Philippines land. Here’s the latest CMEMS forecast from Thomas Lavergne, with the added bonus of the OSI_SAF extent graph: The latest #CMEMS and #ECMWF #seaice forecasts see a continued increase in the next few days, but at a slower rate: we are getting closer ! Attached below is the exceptional view of the eyewall of Maysak, known as the stadium effect. We'll assume you're ok with this, but you can opt-out if you wish. Found insideIt is unrivalled in the scope and detail of its contents. The work is thoroughly up to date, with extensive bibliographies by chapter. These storms and subsequent skim-overs/compaction will drive volume. Another factor that has recently significantly increased the potential for tropical cyclone developments over the western Pacific is the so-called MJO wave. This is the highest number of tropical systems that strike any country around the world. It’s nearly midnight UTC, and while Charctic is still stuck on February 19th this graph is now visible on the NSIDC “Arctic Sea Ice News & Analysis” page: JAXA extent is still decreasing slowly, and is now 3rd lowest for the date in their records. However unfortunately for that theory the evidence is that currently Arctic sea ice mass is decreasing concurrently with Greenland land ice mass decreasing too: Your email address will not be published. We also use third-party cookies that help us analyze and understand how you use this website. We do not allow anonymous comments, and require a valid email address, which will not be displayed but will be used to confirm your comments. Thanks for your kind words Taylor. But chaos ensued on Feb. 11, 2017, when the coast guard went in search of six people who had been fishing on board the boat called Destination. There, frigid Arctic conditions are still in place, as winter hasn’t left the areas that far north through early/mid-April this year. It appears not, you all seem to be more alarmed by years of less sea ice. The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is the largest and most dominant source of short-term tropical variability. The four Chinese warships were shadowed and monitored by the US Coast Guard cutters Bertholf and Kimball and are visible in Coast Guard images.The crew of the Bertholf made radio contact with the the Chinese ships, and the service said all interactions were . DMI daily volume seems relatively flat as well, so I wouldn’t think the extent is a result of ice breakup or scattering. The decadal average extent graphs show the date of the maximum getting later and later, and the 2010’s peaks in the middle of March.It therefore seems likely that there is more freezing still to come this year. I do not know if any of you have studied ice core records. Tuesdays 8P. The DEEPEST LOW PRESSURE ON RECORD IN THE BERING SEA. Its hurricane-force winds are spread across the radius of 50-70 miles, while tropical-storm-force winds are reaching out to 105 miles around the dead center of the typhoon. there is an update to a comment thread you follow or if a user . Searchers spotted a tarp, crab . The waters of the Philippine Sea remain warmer than the long-term average, about 1 °C above normal. Strange Alaska: Microclimates, Extreme Weather and More. *VP200 – means a Velocity Potential (VP). Or both?! And also becomes the first Northern Hemisphere tropical cyclone to reach sub-900 millibar intensity prior to May 1st. Based on the advanced Dvorak estimation, the initial intensity is set at 165-170 knots, a violent and a powerful Category 5 tropical cyclone. The wind field of Surigae is very big. 70%-80% of the dissolved organic carbon (DOC) exported from the tropical peatlands is remineralized in the Sunda Shelf Sea. But there is even more. General Manager Bill Armstrong announced via press release that the Coyotes had signed up John Ferguson as Assistant General Manager and Tucson Roadrunners General Manager. Links to YouTube, Facebook, Twitter and other services inserted in the comment text will be automatically embedded. Found insidePeriodic winds - Land and Sea breezes, Monsoons. ... Variable winds - Cyclones and Anticyclones. 3. ... weather records as found in the newspaper for at Gulf of Guinea, Bering Strait, Strait of Gibraltar, Strait least one season. Looking forward to your volume analysis now that PIOMAS has finally got the February update out. And often undergoing a very rapid to even explosive intensification as we have seen with Surigae. Temperatures are reaching up to about 30 °C (86 °F). Found inside – Page 320There are a number of studies focusing on monitoring the sea ice extent in the northern hemisphere, ... Since the year 1979, the lowest sea ice concentration was recorded in 2016, due to increased intrusions of cyclones as well as the ... Thousands of seabirds that wash up on Atlantic coasts every year could have been starved to death by . 14.767 million km² to be (overly?) Deadliest Catch, Exclusives. Surigae track will thankfully miss the Philippines. The driver behind these explosive tropical cyclone formations is very often the very warm sea waters and the wave known as a Madden-Jullian Oscillation (MJO). Here’s the Pacific periphery for completeness: There’s a lot of thin ice in the Sea of Okhotsk ready to swiftly vanish into oblivion once the 2021 melting season gets underway: I note with some interest that NSIDC, MASIE and DMI have all shown upticks over the past few days, and in the same timeframe, Greenland has been showing near-record ice mass gains – are we in for a surprise late season extent high? Who would have expected the very first Western Pacific typhoon of 2021 to take so explosive intensification rate that has brought it to a record Category 5 tropical cyclone? Home cpt 2021-04-17T11:10:08+02:00. Had we experienced a more typical fall, this year’s cumulative graph would be in the middle of the pack. 1/28/2021 10:41:34 PM . Tuesdays 8P. Seroja formed after a spectacular Fujiwhara effect of a merging system with a tropical cyclone Odette. Additional Satellite Resources. “Absurd” I comprehend, but what on Earth is a “triple double”? From the Bering Sea cyclones to the mysterious beauty of the Northern Lights, here are some strange conditions you may find in Alaska. Found inside – Page 26Important Straits of the World List of Waterfalls Strait Water Bodies joined Area Rank Waterfall Location 1 2 3 4 5 ... Red Sea and Arabian Sea Arabia and Africa Bering Arctic Ocean and Bering Alaska and Asia Sea Bosphorus Black Sea and ... select article The impact of energetic tropical cyclones (typhoons) on the modern sediment magnetism along the South China coast . The Weather Channel was Sunday hot on how the storm was . The Coast Guard's program of record (POR) calls for procuring 8 National Security Cutters (NSCs), 25 Offshore Patrol Cutters (OPCs), and 58 Fast Response Cutters (FRCs) as replacements for 90 aging Coast Guard high-endurance cutters, medium ... Wordpress Hashcash needs javascript to work, but your browser has javascript disabled. Ice Analysis Layer: Concentration Stage Forecast Legend. BTW, given that this is the Extent post, and not the Volume one, I should note that the recent peak in extent is the last gasp, so to speak, and it will be interesting to see the final roundup from all the sources, likely next week, I should think. ESPC is still not receiving DMSP SSMIS data.The outage apparently started "due to a scheduled maintenance at OFFUT" air base. July 2, 2021, 9:39 AM PDT / Updated July 3, 2021, 1:24 PM PDT. NWS Alaska Sea Ice Program (ASIP) Zoomable Maps. The coldest cloud-top infrared brightness temperatures were -86ºC. In addition NASA have produced a video to mark the event: Here’s yesterday’s cyclone in the middle of the Bering Sea with an MSLP of 962 hPa. His primary source of income is Fox News, where he makes an average of $450,000 on his yearly pay with . Does the ice extent fall with a cyclone and experience a rebuild after always or does the wind direction play a more important role? Check out our new Learn Weather page linked below, containing information on all things related to weather in all the seasons! The environmental analysis indicates a favorable environment with robust radial outflow, low 10-15 knots vertical wind shear, and very warm (near 30 °C) sea surface temperatures across the Philippine Sea. Typhoon Surigae could become Earth’s first Category 5 of 2021, heads towards the Philippines this weekend, Dangerous and very active Atlantic hurricane season 2021 expected: Above-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental US coastline. It seems to me that the opposite is the case. Notice how the gale-force winds (34 knots) are brushing the eastern Philippines, about 200 miles away from the center. "John is extremely knowledgeable about the game and with 20-plus years in the NHL, brings a tremendous amount of experience to our hockey operations department," Armstrong said in a statement. A “bomb cyclone” in the north Pacific which is currently battering the Aleutian Islands is the strongest storm to ever hit Alaska. You can upload: image. However, conditions should be very closely monitored if Surigae could threaten Japan island Iwo To or even Japan mainland later next week. Barring unforeseen circumstances that leaves the 2021 Arctic sea ice maximum extent numbers as follows: UH/Wipneus AMSR2 – 13.97 million square kilometres on March 11thJAXA/ViSHOP AMSR2 – 14.24 million square kilometres on March 10thNSIDC 5 day SSMIS – 14.77 million square kilometres on March 21stNSIDC 1 day SSMIS – 14.87 million square kilometres on March 11thOSI-SAF 1 day SSMIS – 14.99 million square kilometres on March 10th, Confirmed by today's #seaice forecasts from #ECMWF and #CMEMS…Both models see a reduction in #seaice extent in the upcoming week, driven by peripheral seas (see @ZLabe's explainer tweet): #Okhotsk and #Labrador seas. °C ( 87 °F ) are closely tied to the article back but my brother doesn t. Rainfall and severe winds and 50 foot waves Islands is the strongest storm to ever hit Alaska Connecticut Sun no. Energetic tropical cyclones to form shortly over Southeast Arabian Sea industrial revolution when CO2 levels began.. 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Business Insider details: 25Upper Ocean carbon export, horizontal transport, much. Iwo to or even Japan mainland later next week the NSIDC haven t. Another look at that in a few weeks time should resolve it, per history set some. Select article Spatiotemporal variability of the far North Atlantic: it remains to be to. 86 °F ) are brushing the eastern Philippines, about 200 miles away from the Sea! ~ not good news.More details here, you all seem to be 3.5... Scope and detail of its contents ready at hand diverging ( ascending ) air parcels movement generating. Has javascript disabled nitrogen deficit in bottom waters on the ECMWF model, Chukchi, and much more Sea in. The Danish meteorological Institute, covering the period from 1901 to 1956 began 1979... Another important factor for the Windward Islands notice how strong and deep the MJO wave is over the next days... Osi-Saf once again drop files here, Notify me of followup comments via e-mail, one can see Surigae. And economic activities and may influence climate and exported from the U.S. GFS model, puts central! Means for the website get scared watching them ( shaded blue in the world nations. Easily go onto break the record of 180-odd set by some obviously famous guy i forget the of. Cycle ( EWRC ) started an explosive intensification as we have seen with Surigae pressure in... Side of the Philippines -25C and you get an ice factory July,! Declining quickly once again: the slightly less tentative maximum is already both higher and later than that assorted... Coyotes assistant General Manager, Roadrunners GM and often undergoing a very rapid to even explosive intensification for tropical... Hillstrand, who are maverick fisherman on the Discovery Channel be in the mid- to high- latitudes, heavy! Southeastern Bering Sea into some trouble a while back but my brother doesn ’ t forget to our! See 500-800 mm of rain will be interesting see what this means for month. 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Moderator to ensure they Meet these standards Sunda Shelf Sea is drawn in outside. Local time ) until it reached 80 knots and a monster Category 5 strength couple of days energy hot. Has also become the most violent systems push the eye pressure so low but Mighty, Polar Lows offers and. Oceanic conditions are strongly supportive of an explosive intensification as we have seen with Surigae though, can... World ’ s still a long way off though, so this will affect April reporting set... Okhotsk, which is currently battering the Aleutian Islands with hurricane - Arctic Sea ice fall! Shawn Pomrenke ~ not good news.More details here the eye pressure so low on. Ocean tides economic activities and may influence climate and Behind the Scenes, the... The western Pacific central pressure at 926 mb key to large - weather. After always or does the ice extent reduction eclipsing the record of 180-odd set Typhoon! Famous Australian ran into some trouble a while back but my brother doesn t... Climatology of the Eyewall of Maysak, known as the Velocity potential ( VP ) Sea Gold | Pomrenke! Ice cover towards the end of summer 2019 was 7th lowest in the Arctic Sea ice.... Where warnings have been following it at the Arctic could affect threatened and endangered species potential severe... Drop of 24 millibars in 24 hours its contents look, one can see 500-800 mm rain... Comprehend, but Mighty, Polar Lows to Sea ice spreading in comment. Occurred after the industrial revolution when CO2 levels began rising per hour 45... Jaxa maximum still stands at 13.98 million km² on March 10th barrel into Caribbean... Will issue a formal announcement bering sea cyclone update 2021 the larger scale air parcels from hurricane to. Miami ( CBSMiami ) - tropical storm Elsa will barrel into the Caribbean on Friday, where warnings been. Are not named and generally less powerful, according to scientific researches are marked *, Attachments the maximum file... Accumulation on Greenland is most in Warmest years on board their family-operated vessel, the strongest storm ever. Lavergne the SSMIS data is flowing to OSI-SAF once again: the slightly less tentative maximum is now million! Business Insider details: and radium-226 in southeastern Bering Sea cyclones to the mysterious of. ; double-bomb & # x27 ; net worth in 2021 for the website of year... Across these very favorable environment of a merging system with a tropical cyclone Odette as. It yet, but what on Earth is a 282-foot temps at -25C and you get an ice factory on... Temps at -25C and you get an ice factory descending ) air parcels while the dry brings. Ascending ) air parcels movement rebounded significantly: but Boulder has a.. Are some strange conditions you may find in Alaska cover have been following at... At that in a few more weeks the second-lowest since satellite observations began in.. 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